As a Ravens fan, I’ve begun the “magic number” countdown – that is the number of wins needed to secure the division. Technically, the magic number is 5, but more realistically the combinations of tie breakers line up in such a way that the magic number is probably actually 4. Secure a Nov 30 win against Cincinatti (whom the Ravens have already beat once) and the tie breaker is secured for a 4 game “magic number”.
I’m going to do a weekly recap for the next few weeks until the end of the season. With the night cap still being played at the writing of this entry, and a Monday night game tomorrow night, I’ll update this entry as appropriate.
If the season were to end today, the playoff teams would be as follows (in seed order – #1 gets home field advantage throughout the playoffs and #1 and #2 get first week BYES):
AFC
- Indianapolis Colts, 9-0 (Win AFC South, Home field throughout playoffs)
- Denver Broncos, 7-2 (Win AFC West based on division winning percentage over San Diego, Seed determined by Head to Head tiebreaker against Baltimore and New England)
- Baltimore Ravens, 7-2 (Win AFC North, Seed determined by divisional winning percentage over New England)
- New England Patriots, 7-2 (Win AFC East)
- San Diego Chargers, 7-2
- Jacksonville Jaguars, 5-4 (Win Head to Head tiebreaker with the New York Jets)
On the Bubble: Cincinatti Bengals, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets
NFC
- Chicago Bears, 8-1 (Win NFC North, Home field throughout playoffs
- Seattle Seahawks, 6-3 (Win NFC West, Seed determined by tiebreaker with New York Giants based on head-to-head record, and tiebreaker with New Orleans based on Divisional winning percentage)
- New Orleans Saints, 6-3 (Win NFC South, Seed determined by tiebreaker with New York Giants based on divisional winning percentage)
- New York Giants, 6-3 (Win NFC East)
- Philadelphia Eagles, 5-4 (Seed determined by tiebreaker with Atlanta Falcons based on conference winning percentage)
- Atlanta Falcons, 5-4
On the Bubble: Dallas Cowboys, Carolina Panthers, San Francisco 49ers, St. Louis Rams
Tiebreakers for rankings (details):
* Head-to-Head Record
** Divisional Winning Percentage
*** Conference Wining Percentage
**** Winning percentage in common games playes
Any sports pundits feel like opining on the Super Bowl?
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About Aaron
The Falcons making the playoffs is a joke. Michael Vick has mastered the second half slide, and they’ll likely finish the season 8-8, maybe 9-7. 7-9 is more likely. Ravens ought to win the AFC North easily, but I don’t see them getting past the divisionls in the postseason. The AFC Super Bowl rep will be Indy or San Diego. No other team scares me. The Broncos are too used to winning by the least amount they have to, and their defense suddenly isn’t historically good, but average. The Patriots lost all magic they ever had, the Ravens gave up 26 quick points to a terrible team. In the NFC it’ll be Chicago, New York, or New Orleans. Chicago is capable of beating anyone, including themselves. They can play and beat anyone on a good day, but they lucked out against Arizona and got blown out by Miami. I don’t see them escaping two straight playoff games. New York is missing too many key guys, and Eli Manning’s innacuracy is going to come back to bite them at some point in the postseason. That leaves New Orleans. I’ll take Colts over Saints in the Super Bowl, but that could easily be Saints vs. Chargers, and I have no idea who’s win that one.
The Falcons making the playoffs is a joke. Michael Vick has mastered the second half slide, and they’ll likely finish the season 8-8, maybe 9-7. 7-9 is more likely.
Ravens ought to win the AFC North easily, but I don’t see them getting past the divisionls in the postseason. The AFC Super Bowl rep will be Indy or San Diego. No other team scares me.
The Broncos are too used to winning by the least amount they have to, and their defense suddenly isn’t historically good, but average. The Patriots lost all magic they ever had, the Ravens gave up 26 quick points to a terrible team.
In the NFC it’ll be Chicago, New York, or New Orleans. Chicago is capable of beating anyone, including themselves. They can play and beat anyone on a good day, but they lucked out against Arizona and got blown out by Miami. I don’t see them escaping two straight playoff games. New York is missing too many key guys, and Eli Manning’s innacuracy is going to come back to bite them at some point in the postseason. That leaves New Orleans.
I’ll take Colts over Saints in the Super Bowl, but that could easily be Saints vs. Chargers, and I have no idea who’s win that one.
Good to see you around, Jesse. :)
Good to see you around, Jesse. :)
Indy v. Philly in XLI
Indy v. Philly in XLI
So nice to know you guys are all wrong.Baltimore v Chicago.
So nice to know you guys are all wrong.
Baltimore v Chicago.
Can we send this feed to February? LOL
Can we send this feed to February? LOL
No kidding. Aaron, I’ve already got this bookmarked in my “later” folder along with the “experts” preseason predictions to look back on and laugh at in February when the Ravens get absolutely dominated in the playoffs. But until then we can only guess
No kidding. Aaron, I’ve already got this bookmarked in my “later” folder along with the “experts” preseason predictions to look back on and laugh at in February when the Ravens get absolutely dominated in the playoffs.
But until then we can only guess
Keep in mind that the seedings are not a prediction so much as a “if the season were to end today, this is where things would stand”. I’ll be following up with similar until the season ends.
Keep in mind that the seedings are not a prediction so much as a “if the season were to end today, this is where things would stand”. I’ll be following up with similar until the season ends.
So nice to know you guys are all wrong.Baltimore v Chicago. That’s not predicting? :)
So nice to know you guys are all wrong.
Baltimore v Chicago.
That’s not predicting? :)
No, THAT is predicting. The post was not. ;)
No, THAT is predicting. The post was not. ;)